It’s about the Montana Democrats’ failure to win the U.S. House seat for the past 20 years.
Oh, it’ll be 20 years when Juneau loses.
Why MT Dems thought it was her turn is beyond me. Once again, let’s run through the reasons she’ll lose:
- She’s a woman
- She’s an Indian
- She’s gay
- She’s a Democrat
Those are the main reasons. I think being gay hurts her the most – most Montanans aren’t gay and many of them believe homosexuality is a sin.
Their Bibles say so.
When it comes to being a woman, let’s be honest – lots of rural Montanans aren’t going to vote for a woman.
Hey, they didn’t vote for a clean-cut white guy in 2014 either.
When it comes to being an Indian, well…that’s just another thing that hurts Juneau.
I mean, really – Indians make up 6.5% of Montana’s voting population.
On top of this, Juneau isn’t even a member of one of Montana’s seven tribes. She’s from a North Dakota tribe, the Mandan-Hidatsa.
Juneau should never have been the candidate, but remember, you don’t decide that – the Montana Democratic Party does.
Who is the Montana Democratic Party?
Good question – the Party doesn’t even list high-ranking party members on their website anymore…just the national and statewide officials.
That was done after the MT Democratic Party website was redesigned by a North Carolina company in March.
So why are party heads not mentioned anymore?
I guess they don’t want people like you and I to figure out who is pulling the strings.
Because if we did that, we could identify those individuals, write about them and their policies, and in that way elicit change.
But we don’t know who they are, so we can’t influence them or even talk to them.
So nothing will change.
Logicosity tells us that Democrats view the U.S. House race in Montana as “second fiddle” to the ‘more important’ races like governor and U.S. Senator.
In that regard, the site figures that Dems won’t put up a viable candidate for the U.S. House until 2022, as Tester’s 2018 race and the 2020 governor’s race will suck the air out of the room.
Logicosity figures with 6 years, the Dems might have a chance to take back the U.S. House seat.
I’m not so sure.
Why are they losing the seat now?
We’re told that Juneau has raised “a record-breaking amount of money” this year.
It hasn’t done her any good, has it?
She’s down by 13 points, 40% to Zinke’s 53%.
Clearly raising a shit-ton of money isn’t the way to win. It is a way to lose, however, as we see quite clearly in the Juneau campaign.
We see it as well in the Laslovich campaign.
My God…what happened?
Laslovich is down by 10 points, 33% to Rosendale’s 43%.
I guess that Florida fundraiser didn’t work, huh, Jesse?
Again, we see our Montana Democrats raising tons of money so they can lose.
OPI follows the same pattern. Romano is down 4 points, 38% to Arntzen’s 42%.
Wow…the race everyone thought the Dems would lose is the one they’re doing really well in!
I decided back in February that I’d vote for Romano. Meeting her was a big part of that decision.
It’s why I’ll probably vote for Gianforte – I met him twice.
Hell, Gianforte went out of his way to meet with me way back in January, and that was before he was even a candidate.
I liked that. It made me feel good. It made me feel like someone actually cares what I have to say.
I’ve never felt that way when it comes to the Montana Democrats.
They not only don’t care what I have to say, they hate it.
Last Best News will give you tons of reasons not to vote for Gianforte.
Another reason I’ll be voting for Gianforte is because Bullock lied to Montanans during the second debate.
Bullock did have an affair, and we know it’s an “open secret” in Helena…just as Juneau’s being gay was an open secret.
How about we put an end to these open Helena secrets, eh?
Self-important Democrats in Helena might like ‘em and feel a little badass because of them, but it sure doesn’t do much to improve my life when those open secrets come back to haunt you.
Having affairs…being gay…Montana isn’t going to vote for this.
And now you begin to realize a monumental problem facing Montana Democrats – they simply don’t know their constituency.
Wow…how is that possible?
I think it’s because they ignore everyplace except the cities and have been doing so for years if not decades.
So what to do?
What will the conversations be like the first Tuesday following Election Day?
Long-time readers will remember that that’s the day Missoula Democrats will dust themselves off and head down for a meeting on their losses.
There will be a lot of anger over losing…as there always is with Democrats that don’t know how to win and refuse to find ways.
The day after Election Day we’ll of course do an in-depth analysis, much like we did on November 5, 2014.
I’ll be telling you exactly who I’m voting for the day before Election Day as well.
I’m not worried what people think of me.
Hell, we know MT Dems hate me. I’ll never be allowed back in their tent, so I say what I think about them.
There are no consequences anymore.
When it comes to Republicans, I do about the same.
I feel Republicans hate me less, only because I point out the glaring hypocrisy of the Democrats.
Why doesn’t our Montana media do that?
Probably because of the revolving door between the newspapers/TV stations and the Montana Democratic Party.
- Kristin Cates went from the Trib to the Dems
- Sanjay Talwani went from MTN to the Dems
- Martin Kidston went from the IR to the Dems to the Missoulian to a blog
- Emily Saunders went from the Idaho IP to the Dems
Perhaps I’m missing some.
I still expect to see former AP reporter Bobby Calvan get a job at the DGA if Bullock is reelected.
So we have unbiased journalism that favors the Dems…although it doesn’t seem to do much good when it comes to winning.
And what is ‘winning?’
Maybe it’s just keeping the islands of blue in the cities, holding off that see of rural red for a bit longer.
Ask people like Andrew Person how he feels about this – there’s a good chance he’ll lose HD 96 and there are similar legislative races around the state.
The rural red is expanding into the islands of blue and Democrats have no idea what to do about it.
So what can we do?
I feel we should do something like this:
- A special convention of Democrats to discuss our inability to win
- Secret ballots to elect new Democratic leadership
- Fact-finding missions to all 56 counties to learn of problems/concerns
- Geography lessons so Democrats know the state
- Shortened government report reading/talking sessions so upcoming Democrats know how the state agencies operate
- Combination 10- to 20-year budget reports so upcoming Democrats now where the money is, where it comes from, and where it goes
- A 50- to 100-person list of former elected Democratic officials that upcoming Democrats can mentor with
- A 50- to 100-point guide to Montana’s most pressing problems, complete with three possible solutions for each issue, so that upcoming Democrats can expand their range of ideas
Those are some ideas. I call it my 8-point-plan.
I fully expect they’ll be ignored by the Montana Democratic Party. If they’re not ignored one of their mouthpiece blogs will simply disparage them.
Hey, that’s what happened when I put out 20 ideas for bills in the 2017 Legislature way back in January.
Remember, Democrats hate me.
For some reason I still hold out hope for them.
Don’t ask me why.