In Montana’s primary Hillary picked up 55,194 votes and Bernie got 63,168.
That comes out to 44% to 51, and with 4% uncommitted.
Wow, good job winning Montana, Bernie!
Results are still coming in and they will be all night. I’ll keep updating this post until about 1 AM.
So it looks like Hillary did pretty well, taking New Jersey with about 63% to 37%.
- Hillary took New Mexico, with about 52% to 49%.
- Hillary took South Dakota, with about 52% to 49%.
- Bernie snagged North Dakota, with 65% to 26% and 10% uncommitted.
And then there was California and it’s 475 Democratic delegates.
Polls didn’t close there until 9 o’clock our time and those results won’t be coming…although the corporate media wanted you to believe it was over even before Californians voted.
At 1 AM our time it was 59% to 40% for Hillary there. (At 11 PM it'd been 62% to 32%, and at 9 AM the next morning only 69% of precincts had reported).
The Intercept had a good post up today called Perfect End to Democratic Primary: Anonymous Superdelegates Declare Winner Through Media.
Pretty much we’re talking about the AP calling the Democratic contest over last night.
The reason?
“Media organizations” went ahead and did a “survey” of, I’m guessing quite a few, of the party’s 720 super delegates, or what the site calls “insiders, corporate donors and officials.”
We also know that the “AP is concealing the identity of the decisive superdelegates who said this.”
Well, you can see a list of all the Democratic superdelegates on this Wikipedia page.
Here’s an excerpt from the Intercept article:
“This is the perfect symbolic ending to the Democratic Party primary: The nomination is consecrated by a media organization, on a day when nobody voted, based on secret discussions with anonymous establishment insiders and donors whose identities the media organization – incredibly – conceals. The decisive edifice of superdelegates is itself anti-democratic and inherently corrupt: designed to prevent actual voters from making choices that the party establishment dislikes. But for a party run by insiders and funded by corporate interests, it’s only fitting that their nomination process ends with such an ignominious, awkward and undemocratic sputter.”
Hillary and her corporate handlers colluded with the media to declare her the winner on a day when no one voted.
We saw this firsthand in Montana tonight around 9:15 or so:
It's just terrible.
The main reason for this was to drive down voter turnout before the California Primary, which had 546 delegates up for grabs.
Yes, Democrats, for all their talk of wanting more people to vote, in this case actually schemed to drive down turnout.
That shouldn’t come as a surprise, as Hillary and her gaggle of corporate Democrats have driven down turnout in lots of states already.
New York is a fine example of the problems voters have faced.
So it is that we have a multi-millionaire, militaristic, establishment-type woman heading toward the nomination.
I see absolutely nothing to get excited about, unless it’s stopping her.
All in all, a very sad 24 hours for American politics and the common people that suffer the poor policies it produces.
The Democratic Party makes me sick, it really does.
- Driving down turnout
- Colluding with the corporate media
- Raising money from Wall Street
- Private fundraisers over meeting the people
Tonight Hillary is in New York fundraising, though her brother-in-law is representing her in California (if DUI court counts as representation).
I’m very depressed about the state of this country and I don’t feel that depression will lift anytime soon.
What a mess, what an awful mess.
Montana Senate Races
To figure out which Montana races are worth paying attention to, I used the following sources:
- I mentioned many of these races in my May 4 post How Go the Montana Legislative Races?
- Two days later on May 6 I took a look at Finances in the 2016 Missoula Political Races and some more candidates.
- On June 2 the Great Falls Tribune had a bit up on the candidates.
- Alex Ross did some good work yesterday up on the Hi-Line profiling the races in the Havre area.
Lee Enterprises chose not to run anything about local candidates in the Missoulian, the Billings Gazette, the Helena IR, and many other large city papers.
It baffles the mind.
Anyways, here are some images from the day:
Now, let’s get to the legislative races. The best place to get results is the new and snazzy-looking Secretary of State’s page.
Here we go.
SD 3
Republican Don “K” raised $17,000 against Keith Regier’s $8,000 for SD 3. The assumption is that Don K will work with Democrats. So this is one of the moderate races we had our eye on.
How’d it go?
So far, with 9 of the 9 precincts partially reporting and none of them fully reporting, Regier has 1,736 votes to Don K’s 1,633.
Close one at 51% to 48%, and it’s over now.
Really, though…I think we know how this will go. A few more votes will come in but the trend will stay the same.
It’s going to be like that for all these races, so bear with me. Mainly, I feel you want news now and I feel most of these results will stand by morning.
SD 7
For Jennifer Fielder’s SD 7 we have a total of 5 candidates, including that public-land-hater that’s currently in office.
On the GOP side Fielder has 2,510 votes to Glenn Ferren’s 1,386, or 64% to 35%.
Dem Elizabeth Retallic leads with 421 votes to Mark Sheets’ 805 votes and Terry Caldwell’s 238 votes.
Looks like it'll be Sheets vs. Fielder once again. Let's hope the Dems support him this time.
SD 10
This Great Falls-area race has Steve Fitzpatrick and JC Kantorowicz.
Fitzpatrick had 3,010 and Kantorowicz had 1,285 at 1 AM, or 70% to 30%.
SD 15
For this race we had Klock, Lund, and Osmundson. Osmundson has 2,991 votes, or 59%, to Lund’s 28% and Klock’s 12%.
If one hadn’t run it could’ve been a race.
SD 16
We had Jonathan Windy Boy termed-out of this Havre-area seat. So it was a three-way primary with fellow Democrats Frank Smith – a former state Senator – and LeAnn Montes and Bobbi Jo Favel battling it out.
So far Montes has 494 votes, or 33%, and Favel has 310 votes, or 21%, and Smith is winning with 657 votes, or 44%.
SD 17
Mike Lang is making the jump in this Malta/Havre-area seat, going against former Representaive Wayne Stahl of Sacco.
Lang got 2,535 votes to Stahl's 1,666 votes, or 60% to 40%.
SD 18
I had my eye on this race because of veteran and medical marijuana supporter Casey Brock.
He’s a Republican and ran against Steve Hinebauch and Bret Smelser, with Democrat Logan Thiel waiting in the wings for November.
It looks like Hinebauch at 51% and Smelser at 43% and Brock at 5%.
Tough break.
SD 35
This race has Democrat Mary Meyer going at it. For the GOP we have incumbent Scott Sales defending his seat against her.
It’s Sales at 3,758 votes and Meyer at 1,584.
I don’t think this seat will be changing hands.
SD 36
This Dillon-area race has no Democrat so it’ll be decided today. GOPer Dale Stewart is going against Jeff Welborn for the open seat.
Stewart got 2,127 votes, or 42%, and Welborn has 2,861 votes, or 57%.
SD 40
Democrat Joshua Manning “unofficially” dropped out of the race for SD 40 against fellow Democrat Hal Jacobson, as I mentioned on May 4.
Manning raised $3,500 to Jacobson’s $13,000.
Terry Gauthier is running as the Republican. From my trips to Helena I can tell he’s winning the yard sign war. Will it be enough for him to defeat fellow Republican Drew Turiano?
So far Jacobson has 2,367 votes, or 82%, to Manning’s 490 votes, or 17%.
On the GOP side Gauthier has 67% and Turiano has 24% and Garcia has 7%.
The key here is that Jacobson has about 550 more votes than Gauthier right now. We’ll see if that holds tonight and in November.
SD 44
I was damn saddened to see De-Reg Fred Thomas running again. I figured Democrat Lee Tickell had the best chance of beating him, even though he only raised $453 to run against him. James Olsen is also running for the Dems.
Olsen got 518 votes to Tickell's 340 votes, or 60% to 40%. That's 858 votes between 'em to De-Reg's 1,876.
SD 47
Dems Tom France and Joey Jayne are going at it here, with GOPers Robert Bridges and Dan Saloman waiting in the wings.
Tom France currently has 907 votes to Jayne’s 475 votes, or 65% to 34%.
Salomon has about 561 fewer votes than France if you match them up.
Montana House Races
HD 3
This race has Zac Perry for the Dems and Taylor Rose for the GOP. Perry got 723 votes and Rose picked up 1,025.
Neither has a primary opponent so if trends continue, Rose will be serving in January.
HD 17
This race has Charles Brown, David Brownell, and Ross Fitzgerald.
Fitzgerald has 53% to the 22% of Brown and the 24% of Brownell.
HD 19
McKamey and Pinocci are running in this race.
McKamey got 61% and Pinocci got 38%.
HD 27
Current Representative Roy Hollandsworth termed-out here so Republicans Darrold Hutchinson, a farmer north of Hingham, and James O’Hara, a gubernatorial candidate in 2012, are going for this seat.
O’Hara has 57% and Hutchinson has 42%. Democrat Rominger picked up 780 votes to O’Hara’s 1,336. This seat will not be going to the Dems, I feel.
HD 28
Jacob Bachmeier is the 18-year-old Havre Democrat that ran against GOP incumbent Stephanie Hess.
Bachmeier got 54% and Rawn 45%. Hess has more votes than each, but not both together. This seat could be interesting come November.
HD 33
Mike Lang is making the jump this year so Republican rancher Casey Knudson and BNSF Railway conductor Michael Burns will battle it out to face BNSF Railway worker Mike Finley in November.
Knudsen got 62% and Burns got 37%.
HD 45
Daniel Zolnikov was running in a ‘tight’ primary against John Bedford for HD 45.
Zolnikov raised $5,000 more than his opponent for the primary and then another $2,000 on top of it.
Looks like Zolnikov pulled it off, getting 1,195 votes to Bedford’s 700, or 63% to 36%. Democrat Ken Crouch picked up 664 votes.
HD 92
This race has current GOP Treasurer Mike Hopkins going against Larry Dunham and Rancy Vannoy in the primary. One will face Democrat Addrien Marx in November.
It’s still very early but Hopkins has 40% to Dunham’s 33% and Vannoy’s 25%.
Marx picked up 1,222 votes and the GOP has 1,200.
HD 95
This race has the favored Shane Morigeau against Curtis Bridges for the Democrats, one of which will face GOPer Cyndi Kenck in November.
Morigeau picked up 1,203 votes and Bridges got 327, or 78% to 21%. Kenck picked up 370 votes.
HD 96
I have my eye on this race as I figure the seat could change hands this fall, especially if Hillary’s on the ticket.
We have Andrew Person for the Dems and Adam Hertz for the GOP, and Person got 1,201 votes and Hertz got 1,062 votes.
If that’s how things go in the fall it’ll be close.
HD 97
In this race we had Democrats Nick Davis and Patrick Maloney battling it out, one of which will face Brad Tschida in the general.
Maloney has 560 votes to Davis’s 504, or 52% to 47%. Together they have 1,064 votes to Tschida’s 1,245. Not all votes have been counted, however.
HD 98
I ran for this seat in 2014 and lost to Willis Curdy in the primary. He was the only incumbent Democrat challenged this year.
The person that challenged him was Michael Bowles and he picked up 406 votes to Curdy’s 1,207, or 25% to 74%.
So that was a blow-out, but about what we expected.
Hey, I did pretty bad running for that seat too, picking up just 9% of the vote.
You have to start somewhere.
HD 99
This was my race, and I picked up 315 votes to my opponent’s 1,409 votes, or 18% to 81%.
Wow, that’s a real shellacking.
I mean, I got my ass handed to me!
I’m not that disappointed, nor am I surprised.
I’ve been bloodied in battle before, losing in 2014. That year I got 118 votes, or 9.1% of the 1,297 cast.
So this year I did a lot better, getting 197 more votes than in 2014.
If you figure I raised $340 for my race, that means each vote cost me $1.07.
My opponent raised about $12,800 so that means each vote cost her $9.08.
For the most part, gosh...I'm so glad I ran and got out there and did the work. I didn't win, but I did better than a thought I would.
I'm very thankful.
So now I have two losses under my belt, and come 2018, I might have three.
That’s pretty good.
Most people don’t work up the courage to run for the legislature once. I’ve done it two times now and I’m proud of that.
Sure, winning would be nice, but I’m young and I’ll get there.
And hey, think of all that name recognition I’ve built up!
Besides that it was a pretty good day.
- I got some new brakes on my car for $305, and it’s damn nice to have the money to do that.
- I bought $15 worth of the new June 2016 stamps, and let me tell you, the colors on those planets and national parks are great!
- I finished a new book today, a short novel that I’ll tell you about tomorrow or the next day.
- I had a good time talking with voters and anti-trapping and brain research signature gatherers. They were being paid more than $10 an hour and I was volunteering, but what the hell!
- I’ve already sold 40 books today.
Plus I went around already and picked up all my campaign signs. All in all, lots of stuff accomplished today.
I just didn’t win that darn election.
Oh well…there’s always next year, which would be the 2017 Missoula City Council elections.
Jon Wilkins…watch out.
Governor
Mainly at this point we’re looking at the primary challengers, primarily puppet-McChesney.
He went against Bullock as a paper candidate so Bullock could raise more dark and out-of-state and PAC money, as well as a bit from individuals that actually live here.
We’re also looking at turnout numbers, to try and get an idea of which base of voters is more energized.
Will that energy translate to November?
For the GOP, I think it will. For Dems, well, a lot rides on the presidential contest.
Bullock got 109,567 votes and Gianforte has 110,079.
It was neck and neck around 10 PM but by 1:20 AM the gap had widened.
Puppet McChesney picked up about 9%.
Gianforte’s puppet picked up 23%. That’s Terry Nelson, and my, he did better than I thought!
Clearly, a lot of Republicans do not want Gianforte as governor. That’s very, very interesting.
If you add Nelson to Gianforte, the percentages are 55% to 45%, Gianforte winning.
It looks like 24,083 more Republicans turned out than Democrats to vote.
Something to think on for the next 5 months.
PSC District 4
I voted for Mark Sweeney, and the reason was simple – I met the guy.
Yeah, that was way back on January 28 when he came to Missoula for a meet-and-greet.
I wrote about it and that article really took off as people began to vote. I figure they had no idea who Mark Sweeney was and had to use Google to find out.
That brought them to my site…as you can see quite clearly from the Search Engine Results Page (SERP):
That article I wrote profiling Sweeney got about 400 views last month and it was up to 122 views by 9 o’clock this morning.
By the time I got ready to upload this post around 9:15 tonight it’d gotten up to 162 views.
While we’re on the subject of Montana political keyword traffic, check out some of the exact matches that Google is telling me people are typing in to get to my site:
So as you can see, we have lots of local voters using my site to get information on people like:
- Greg Strandberg
- Nate McConnell
- Mark Sweeney
- Joshua Manning
- Curtis Bridges
- Bob Brown (?)
- Willis Curdy
- W.D. Kendrick
- Ryan Lynch
- Mike Crabtree
- Terry Gauthier
- Michael Bowles
- Melissa Romano
- Matt Regier
- Larry Dunham
- Lance Cox
- Jordan Matney
- David McGarry
- Becky Beard
I could go on and on, but most of those names are just getting one keyword, meaning one person is looking.
On those last few names, they’re further down the list of about 150 keywords I have so far this month.
Some of those names I mentioned just once – such as Bridges – but when you don’t have much of an online presence, that one mention will come up quite quickly, especially on an established site like mine.
Not once did I see an event listed for Gail Gutsche, not once.
I would have went down to it had I seen one on Twitter or Facebook or even in the paper.
I did not, however, nor did I get anything in the mail.
I dunno – maybe Gutsche figured I’d throw her campaign card up on the site and analyze it.
If I was going to do that I would have done it the day of the Missoula Bernie Sanders rally, when about 3 or 4 of the cards had been left on my “legalize marijuana” sign as I was walking around.
I always wondered…did Gail leave those or just someone that didn’t care about the card she or whomever handed them?
Well, the race is over now and it looks like it’s way too close to call.
Currently at 11:15 PM it’s Gutsche with 59%, Sweeney at 30% and Tavenner at 10%.
Well, looks like Sweeney did not win. Oh well, it happens.
Secretary of State
My God, I’m worried voters will die of boredom.
There is absolutely nothing to get excited about in this race…and while we’re at it…what does the Secretary of State do and how does that office help your life?
…
…
Yeah, I’m not real sure either. I guess they do stuff with elections and voting and sending out polls for special sessions…but what else?
So I just don’t feel that people are going to get excited about this race, and we might as well just put that forth for all the down-ticket races.
People do not care.
I think the voting shows that.
Lindeen pulled in 109,374 and Stapleton got 135,478, or 45% to 55%.
Should be interesting to see if that trend continues ‘till November.
Remember, the results are not all in yet…but Lindeen has some work to do.
Auditor
Today Laslovich got 101,823 votes and Rosendale got 131,147, or 44% to 56%.
Again, it could be a sign of what’s to come or it could be a fluke.
Really, I wonder what the hell the Democrats were celebrating tonight there at the Sixth Avenue headquarters.
We’ll see what happens. From our vantage point, that’s about all we can do.
For those two guys, however, it’s 5 months of hard work.
The person who works hardest wins (unless money’s involved).
OPI Head
Today in the primary Romano got 101,840 to Arntzen’s 128,153, or 44% to 56%.
Wow, Dems are not doing well!
I don’t think this should be a surprise – I’ve been saying this was going to happen for months!
MT Supreme Court
Don’t know who they are? Don’t worry – 90% of Montana doesn’t.
Seems like Juras is winning, with 90,209 votes to Sandefur’s 71,837 and Mills’ 44,097.
As I write this just 166 out of 686 precincts are partially reporting and just 504 of those are fully reporting as of 1:20 AM.
So we’ve got a long night and anything could happen. Missoula is extremely slow tonight, extremely.
Conclusion
I did that to gather signatures to legalize marijuana in Montana. It was a real bust, as I got just 10 people to sign.
Oh well.
Montana was a bit of a bust today as well.
We had a huge number of people turn out to vote today in Montana...well, actually not.
Turnout on June 7 was 44.6%.
Pathetic.
That’s better than some of our historical primary voting, as you can see:
So in 2012 we had 37% turnout and in 2008 we had 45%.
Pretty damn pathetic.
This year we did worse than 2008...even with the larger than normal absentee ballot return rate.
Here in Missoula County a whopping 73.6% of absentee ballots that were sent out were returned.
Still, more than 25% of absentee Montana voters simply did not vote today.
55% of Montana voters didn't feel it necessary to vote at all.
Yes, many people in this state do not think that voting matters.
This is the messaging failure I’ve continually been harping on for the past year or more.
People do not feel their government is helping them, or that it ever will. There’s simply no reason for them to vote…even when they’re registered to do so!
Hell, these people will put themselves up for the hassle of jury duty but they won’t bother to take 20 minutes once every 4 years to go to their polling place to vote.
My, we are pathetic.
I have to blame the terrible messaging from both Dems and GOPers.
People do not care what we say, no matter what party we’re in.
It hasn’t always been like this.
- In 1932 we had 62% turnout in the primary
- In 1936 we had 61% turnout
- In 1960 we had 70% turnout
- In 1968 we had 67% turnout
- In 1972 we had 70% turnout
- In 1976 we had 50% turnout
Every year since 1976 we’ve had abysmal voter turnout in our Montana primary.
It got up to 51% in 1992 but most years are in the 40% range, sometime the 30% range.
Don’t think that general election turnout is any different.
In 2008 we had a pretty good year with 74% turnout…but still, that’s 26% of the state that didn’t vote, or tens of thousands of people!
We just don’t talk about issues that most people care about.
Will that change?
I don’t think it will.
Now just a short message to all of the elected officials and primary winners:
We will never stop looking, we will never stop analyzing, we will never stop thinking and we will never stop holding you accountable.
If you want to take dark money, out of state money, PAC money, corporate money, Wall Street money…it will be pointed out to the people you want to reach.
You will be held accountable, and the rigged super delegate system will be abolished.
I hope that makes you laugh, chuckle perhaps, I really hope it does.
Many of us aren’t laughing, and we’re damn energized still…just not for you.
It’s a movement, and by God, you’ll come to understand what that means.
So carry on, oh, please…carry on.