This should come as no surprise.
The night after the primary, we knew Gianforte would be heading back to Washington for another 2 years.
I mean…Kathleen Williams?
So that race is in the bag for the GOP. I see it Gianforte 52%, Williams 45%, Other 3%.
Most say Tester will win again. I’m not one of them.
James Conner does a good job analyzing all the various polls out there. All you’ve heard about on his site all week is polls.
Shame he doesn’t tell us how insignificant they are.
For instance, the latest poll has a whopping 2,000 people.
That represents 0.01% of Montana’s population.
Personally, I was never polled. I wasn’t polled this year and I wasn’t polled in any other election in the 36 years I’ve been alive.
I doubt many of the 6,000 or so that showed up to see Trump in Missoula were polled.
I think it’s great that politicians and those that watch them get so excited about polls. I’m just not sure polls mean a lot.
That’s why I think Rosendale will be winning in 12 days.
Tester has never taken 50% of the vote. He and his Party paid over $1 million to remove the Green Party from the ballot, so afraid of losing were they.
I would have thought Tester could have won until Trump got him in his sights and came to the state 3 times. It’s hard to overcome that.
No one has come to support Tester, not even in-state politicos like Bullock.
While Bullock is too busy chasing a presidential loss to care about Montana politics anymore, we know for a fact that no one on the national Democratic scene could have come.
I mean…imagine Chuck Schumer coming to stump for Tester. While the two are quite chummy in D.C., Tester doesn’t want to be caught dead with him before the election is through.
It’s just another indication of how out-of-touch Tester is with the people of his home state.
I’m not saying Rosendale is anymore in touch – I think he’s a terrible candidate – it’s just that Republicans would rather have him than Tester.
And my…Republicans outnumber Democrats by a lot in this state. The Independents we do have mostly lean to the right.
I see the race concluding like so:
- Rosendale: 48.6%
- Tester: 47.8%
- Other: 3.6%
I’m incredibly thankful that the GOP will control the legislature again, as this means I won’t have to pay a sales tax next year.
I’m also thankful that Democrats in Montana would rather talk about transgender issues than other issues.
While it’s true that transgender people make up 0.5% of our population, I just don’t feel they need special attention.
They, like most of us, have to figure out how to pay the bills, put food on the table, and save for retirement. If Democrats focused more on the bread and butter issues facing Americans, they might be able to win again. As it stands, I’m glad they don’t realize this.
Democrats have a terrible tendency right now to knee-jerk react to any perceived slight.
- Elizabeth Warren fell for the DNA test bullshit…and months after it was ‘an issue.’
- In Helena, Dems got up in arms over the government’s news about gender identification.
Parties that are winning show confidence, not desperation. I think the biggest problem for Dems right now is that they have no confidence.
I don’t really think Democrats even know what they stand for anymore.
And that makes it all the easier for the GOP to steamroll right over them.
The GOP has no such problems – they stand for less government and lower taxes.
Personally, I like that idea. I deal with the government and I have taxes taken out of my paycheck.
I can understand those things.
I can’t understand what the Democrats are pushing. Perhaps some can. But not nearly enough for the Dems to win any major races in Montana this year.
Hey…the state’s red. Aside from the occasional blip on the radar, it has been for decades.