If I get some more ideas, I might add some stuff later in the day.
Today we have some big votes on Capitol Hill.
I can live with the Tracy Stone-Manning confirmation, if she gets in...which she has a real good chance of.
I can’t imagine living in this country if the massive $3.5 trillion ‘infrastructure’ package passes. I think that’ll ruin this country for good, the final nail in the coffin.
The bill is over 2,000-pages long, and hardly anyone knows what’s in it. It seems that lots of things are being slipped-in at the last minute.
All of this is being done in secret, behind closed doors...as it’s been done for years.
The real change came in 2017.
That year saw the lowest number of amendments offered up on congressional bills in a decade, with just 159 in the Senate. In the House, 55% of bills weren’t even up for debate or amendments.
Compare that to 2007, when we had 1,037 amendments offered up on bills. This is how the legislative process worked for our nation’s whole history - a bill would be put up, it’d be debated, people would add to it, and when everyone was happy, it’d typically pass.
And it’s only gotten worse since then. In 2008, the Senate allowed votes on Amendments for 67% of the bills put forth. By 2018, that’d fallen to 20%.
There are only four people to blame for this - Mitch McConnell, Chuck Schumer, Nancy Pelosi, and Paul Ryan. Those four and the corporations that controlled them.Those four swine have been in charge of congress since ‘17, and they’ve done a lot to destroy this country.
Now we largely have corporations and their paid lobbyists write the bills behind closed doors, the bill is not shown to legislators until a day before voting (if even that), there is no debate allowed on the bill, no amendments are allowed, and legislators are threatened to vote on a straight party-line basis lest they be ostracized and cut-off from campaign funds from the large corporate PACs.
In other words, go along...or commit political suicide. Most go along, and we’ve seen the results - a country destroyed.
Will the final death nail be put into the coffin today? Chances are extremely good. The corporate media wants you to think just two people can save you - Manchin or Sinema, two individuals that don’t care about you.
I think we’re in real trouble. Even if this bill today fails, the process is inexorably broken and the corporations show no signs of letting the paid-off congresspeople in their pocket ever fix it again.
On the Horizon for ‘24
Looking forward at the upcoming political cycles, I think the general consensus in the two parties is that it’ll play out like this:
Gianforte will run for governor again in ‘24, and will likely win.
Knudsen will run for AG again in ‘24, and will likely win. This sets Knudsen up to become governor in ‘28, following the typical path of AG to Gov that five men have taken before, though just three of them directly:
- Steve Bullock: AG from 2008-12 (governor in ‘12)
- Marc Racicot: 1988-92 (governor in ‘92)
- Forrest Anderson: 1957-68 (governor in ‘68)
- John Bonner: 1941-42 (resigned to get into WWII, governor in ‘48)
- Sam Ford: 1917-21 (MT supreme court ‘29-33, governor in ‘40)
Most that have served as AG usually run for governor at some point. It’s just that most of them don’t win. At this point, Knudsen has a good chance to become #6...but he also has over 6 more years to fuck that up.
Rosendale will run for U.S. House again in ‘22 and I think he’s the most likely candidate to challenge Tester in ‘24. At this point, I’m 75% sure that Tester will not be running that year. It’s been about three years since he got reelected, but in that time he’s done relatively little and has kept himself largely out of the media. That’s not something someone gearing-up for another run does.
Arntzen is termed-out of OPI in ‘24 and I really have no idea where she might go after that. I think a lieutenant governor position would be a large step down for her at that point. All I can think of besides that is a run for one of the U.S. House seats (Rosendale will likely be vacating his seat that year, while who knows who might have won the new seat that hasn’t even been drawn yet). Besides that, retirement or some nonprofit or think tank.
And that brings us to the end of our current statewide officeholders that are likely going to make a jump to one office or another in the coming years. What about Downing and Jacobsen? I suspect they’ll run for their current offices again in ‘24. I have no idea what the Dems will do. They don’t really have a bench, and it seems that whatever rich recently-transplanted woman wants to be the flavor-of-the-week this week, well...she files to run and that’s that - support them or you’re a chauvinist bigot.