Montana Cowgirl is dead.
The site’s last post was on August 9, and before that they had posts on:
- Aug 1
- Jul 10
- Jun 27
- Jun 25
- Jun 19
- Jun 13
- Jun 12
- Jun 4
That takes us to the primary…just about 3 months ago.
I’m not sure what Erin Kelly is doing on that site, but it’s pretty clear she’s lost the motivation to keep going.
We know that Eric Stern lost the motivation…pretty much when he lost his governor’s office job this past spring.
So that site is done. Their inability to delete the racist comments from their latest post attests to that.
The other major liberal site in Montana is the Montana Post.
Today the site actually tried to disparage Matt Rosendale in a post called “Matt Rosendale Slanders the Memory of John McCain.”
I find this post’s title humorous, as 10 years ago the site had a post up called “Why Does John McCain Hate America?”
Perhaps McCain’s politics changed over the past decade...or maybe it's just that the writers of the Montana Post will grasp at whatever straws they can in their attempt to get Tester the win.
Tester ain’t gonna win.
While there was a public poll out this week showing Rosendale up by 2 points, it’s the polls that weren’t made public that I’m more interested in.
- For instance, on July 5 the Montana Democratic Party spent $15,000 on a poll.
- Then on July 21 they spent another $18,000 to do more polling.
Perhaps I missed it, but I don’t think the results of either of those polls were ever made public.
Why is that?
Simple – the polls didn’t bode well for Dems.
I can’t think of anyone that Dems would be spending $30,000+ on for polling other than Tester.
And since those polls were kept hush-hush, we know the results were bad…or at least in line with the 2-point-up poll we saw earlier this week.
And that’s one of the main reasons for my post today: what the hell are Dems doing to ensure Tester can win?
I don’t see much.
For instance, on Montana Post we see the following posts this month:
- Anti-Rosendale posts: 13
- Pro-Three-Forks-Union posts: 7
- Anti-Zinke posts: 5
- Anti-Gianforte posts: 5
- Anti-GOP Legislator posts: 3
- Media posts: 2
- Anti-GOP ‘Racism’ posts: 2
- Anti-Daines posts: 2
- Begging for Money posts: 2
- Anti-Trump posts: 2
- Dark Money posts: 1
- Support Statewides posts: 1
- Guilt-You-Into-Voting posts: 1
- Pro Democrat posts: 1
Yeah...I shit you not - the site hasn't had a single post up over the past month that talks about Williams and/or Tester.
For August, the Montana Post put up 47 posts.
32 of those posts were decrying what Republicans are doing, while 5 talked-up the union protests in Three Forks.
Sadly for Dems, 5 posts were actually against a guy that's not running (Zinke), and 2 were against a guy that's not up until 2020 (Daines).
That leaves just 10 posts, and just one of them highlighted what a Dem stands for and what they can do for you.
That post was about Andy Shirtliff for PSC, and it came out on August 2.
Now, personally I don’t think the Montana Post has that much of an impact.
Sure, they get a ton of Facebook likes on many of their posts…but this is just preaching to the choir.
The people that read that site, and the people that like it and share it on Facebook…all of them vote already, and they vote Dem.
And we see what their voting accomplishes – continual losses for Democrats.
Hillary knows this scenario well – just because you have the most money, or maybe even the most votes…it doesn’t mean you’re gonna win.
If I was interested in seeing Democrats win in Montana, I might suggest to the Montana Post that they spend less time attacking what they don’t like, and spend more time highlighting what they do like.
- Highlighting the positive is just that…more positive, and it makes people feel good.
- When you talk about the negative all the time, it puts people in a bad mood. Perhaps this mood makes people want to change things, but we know from turnout – and Dem results in MT – that this doesn’t translate into winning votes for Democrats.
I hope the Montana Post continues just as they are, with around 50 posts a month, three-quarters of them bitching and moaning.
This is great for the GOP.
- It’s not that GOP voters read the site and are turned off and decide to get out and vote.
- And it’s not that Dem voters read the site and are inspired to get out and vote.
The truth of the matter is that hardly anyone in Montana reads that site – or mine – and they vote how they’ve been voting for years, if not decades.
The state is red.
Sometimes people say it’s purple, but I’m not seeing it.
Remember the primary?
- U.S Senate: 57% to 42%, GOP turnout vs. Dem turnout
- U.S. House: 56% to 44%
Dems have 2 months to turn those numbers around. Currently, Jon Tester’s PAC money isn’t getting the job done.
I suspect he’ll try to raise more money, thinking that’s the problem.
Talk about clueless.
Meanwhile, Matt Rosendale is way behind in fundraising…but he’s either up a couple points or the two are neck-and-neck.
How do you explain that?
It sure ain’t because of what Montana Post is writing or not writing.
Like I said earlier…the state is red.
I don’t think Cowgirl will be putting up many posts between now and November, but should they, I know they’ll only appeal to the die-hard Dems that’ll be voting Dem anyway.
Montana Post will put up around 150 posts between now and November. It won’t make much of a difference – all of the candidates they support will be losing, all the people that read the site are Dems anyway.
I hope MT Post continues just as they are.
What I don’t hope is that the Montana Post begins talking about why I should vote for Tester..or Williams…or any of the legislative candidates on the ballot.
Judging from the site’s past posts, I don’t think we have to worry about this at all.
Hell, talk like that might inform voters, perhaps earning a vote for the desired candidates.
But like I said…no one reading that site is still on the fence. Dems read that site…and in this state, Dems lose.
Nothing’s gonna change that.